(Multimédia) Trump dit qu’un accord de paix entre les Etats-Unis et l’Iran sera signé dimanche

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The Disconnect Between Washington, Islamabad, and Tehran

The push for a Sunday signing comes after a series of conflicting reports from the three primary actors in the negotiation. According to Xinhua, President Trump stated via Truth Social that the deal is finalized, asserting that once signed, the Strait of Hormuz will be “OPEN TO ALL.” Pakistan, acting as the mediator, supports the U.S. timeline. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar both confirmed that the two nations have agreed on a peace framework. Dar specifically noted that an electronic signing ceremony is planned for Sunday. Tehran, however, is tempering these expectations. Esmaeil Baghaei, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry, denied that a definitive protocol would be signed on Sunday, citing “hesitation of the opposite party.” Baghaei clarified that any agreement reached at this stage would not be a final settlement but would instead serve as a “framework for the continuation of negotiations.” This friction suggests a classic diplomatic gap: Washington is framing the event as a victory and a conclusion, while Tehran is treating it as a preliminary step to maintain leverage.

Strait of Hormuz and the Naval Blockade

At the center of the dispute is the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran closed following U.S. and Israeli attacks in February. As reported by L’Express, the proposed protocol includes the immediate reopening of the strait and the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade. “Iran has won the war against the United States.” Abbas Araqchi, Iranian Foreign Minister Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi has maintained a defiant tone, claiming that the conflict has actually strengthened Iran’s position. While the deal may lift the blockade, Araqchi emphasized that Iran and Oman will retain control over maritime traffic. He warned that “Our sword will always be suspended over the Strait of Hormuz,” signaling that Tehran views the waterway as a permanent strategic tool rather than a mere bargaining chip.

UAE Financial Shifts and Frozen Assets

The diplomatic thaw extends beyond the U.S. and Iran, involving a significant tactical pivot by the United Arab Emirates. Sources cited by L’Express indicate the UAE has agreed to unlock billions of dollars for Iran. This move follows weeks of Iranian attacks against the UAE during the broader conflict. The financial component of the peace process is substantial:

• UAE Funds: Billions of dollars in immediate unlocks to facilitate de-escalation.
• Frozen Oil Revenue: Diplomats suggest the broader deal could involve the release of tens of billions of dollars in Iranian oil revenues currently frozen in foreign banks due to U.S. sanctions.

This shift in UAE policy coincides with a change in Iranian targeting. While the UAE has been spared new strikes for over a month—with the last direct hit occurring May 4 at the port of Fujairah—Iran has recently redirected its missiles and drones toward Bahrain and Kuwait.

Oil Markets and the ‘Substance’ Gap

Global markets responded with immediate optimism to the prospect of peace. According to Médias24, oil prices plummeted on Friday as investors bet on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Benchmark Price Change Closing Price (08:15 GMT) Brent Crude -2.76% $87.91 WTI Crude -2.61% $85.42 Stock markets in Asia and Europe mirrored this rally. Tokyo’s Nikkei gained 2.84%, and Seoul’s Kospi surged 4.63%, driven by the hope of lower energy import costs. In Europe, Paris rose 2.18% and Frankfurt 2.03%. However, some analysts warn that the market is overreacting to rhetoric. Ipek Ozkardeskaya, an analyst at Swissquote, noted that the markets are reacting to “words that have little substance,” reminding investors that previous claims of “imminent” deals have failed to materialize.

Nuclear Timelines and the G7 Summit

The most volatile element of the agreement remains Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump claimed that Iran “no longer wishes to possess nuclear weapons” and suggested the U.S. would work with Tehran to eliminate enriched uranium at an “opportune moment.” Tehran is not yet conceding on this point. Iranian state media reports that discussions regarding the nuclear issue must continue for an additional 60 days. This discrepancy suggests that while a ceasefire and the reopening of trade routes are close, the core security concerns of the U.S. remain unresolved. The resolution of these tensions will likely dominate the G7 summit in Evian-les-Bains, which begins Monday, June 15. World leaders are expected to meet under high security to discuss the fragile order in the Middle East and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. If the Sunday signing fails or is reduced to a mere “framework,” the G7 meeting will transition from a victory lap into a crisis management session. For now, the world is watching to see if the “electronic signature” promised by Pakistan can override the “hesitation” reported by Tehran.