Who voted with in the Chamber of Deputies or Party Discipline or other ambitions

It could be read as a chronicle of the ending Chamber of Deputies – from its establishment after the 2017 elections to the last days right now. It is a so-called spatial analysis of almost ten thousand votes, which shows the proximity of the votes of individual deputies during the entire term of office.

The strongest party discipline: YES and the democratic opposition

According to the consensus, the groups of deputies show that the strongest party discipline was held by the YES movement, but also by the opposition parties as one bloc (KDU-ČSL, Pirates, ODS, TOP 09, STAN). Although they voted inconsistently in the first months after the establishment of the Chamber of Deputies in 2017, they very quickly united into one anti-government bloc.

On the other hand, the SPD or deputies not included in clubs who left the ODS (Václav Klaus Jr., Zuzana Majerová Zahradníková) or the CSSD (Jaroslav Foldyna) and the SPD (Lubomír Volný, Marián Bojko, Tereza Hyťhová) stayed away from the governing coalition for most of the term. the rest of the opposition.

The vertical axis of the graph (dimension X) shows the main voting battle in the House, ie it separates the government and the opposition.

The horizontal axis of the graph (dimension Y) somewhat less clearly separates the parties within the governing coalition (ANO, CSSD and KSCM) and within the opposition – mainly a group of five parties ODS, Pirates, KDU-CSL, TOP 09 and STAN versus SPD and non-attached deputies.

How voting coalitions are calculated

Each point on the graph represents one Member. The distance between the two points corresponds to how often they voted together. If two Members always voted the same, they would be in the same place on the chart. The farther apart they were, the more often they voted the opposite.

The method is weighted, ie modified so that the differences between the deputies stand out. Greater weight is attached to votes in which the House was more divided. The biggest influence on the deployment of deputies would have a vote that would end in a draw 100: 100, the smallest then unanimous decisions. These are most often approached by various procedural or formal votes.

Klaus and Kalousek were looking for a home

The period of the first half of 2019, according to the consensus of the vote, could be concluded that Václav Klaus Jr. and Miroslav Kalousek are not anchored in any group, party or coalition or opposition. As if it were a harbinger that former Finance Minister Miroslav Kalousek and one of the opposition’s most prominent politicians would resign in two years.

Vaclav Klaus Jr. on the contrary, he did not give up his mandate, but at the same time he distanced himself from the parties for which the term democratic opposition was adopted, until he found himself in close proximity to the SPD.

During the second Babiš reign from June 2018, it is interesting to observe the close inclination of the Social Democrats and Communists to the YES government movement.

2018–2020: The CSSD and the KSCM held mostly with YES

The biggest “rebels” who initially often voted differently than their club were Václav Klaus (ODS), Bohuslav Sobotka (ČSSD), Marian Jurečka (KDU-ČSL), Olga Richterová (Pirates) or Jiří Dolejš (KSČM).

However, this changed after the end of the first government of Andrej Babiš (in January 2018, this minority government did not gain the trust of the Chamber of Deputies and until June 2018 it ruled in resignation).

Babiš’s second government has already gained the trust thanks to ANO, CSSD and KSCM deputies. This brought with it a great inclination of the representatives of the two smaller parties to the YES deputies during the individual votes in the Chamber.

2021: Deviation of social democracy and communists from YES

On the contrary, the whole of this year shows how the deputies of the CSSD and the KSCM are gradually moving away from the YES movement.

Due to their decision to rule together with Babiš’s movement, the Social Democrats have been losing voters at least since last year’s regional elections, and now they are in danger of not getting into the Chamber at all.

This year, the closeness of the vote between the YES movement and the communists gradually disappeared. Both the CSSD and the KSČM moved further and further away from Babiš’s movement, and deputies Jan Chvojka, Kateřina Valachová, Ondřej Veselý and Alena Gajdůšková became closer and closer to the opposition parties. On the other hand, the former Minister of Culture for the CSSD, Antonín Staněk, remained in close proximity to the YES deputies.

The extreme sides are close to each other

One more fact cannot be overlooked in the analysis: namely, the considerable current proximity of the Communists and members of the SPD (or the Tricolors and the Free Bloc). Although they declare a great difference of opinion and even antipathy, this is not reflected in practice now.

The whole period of the Chamber of Deputies

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