[JTBC 여론조사] Lee Jae-myung’s ‘Status’, Yoon Seok-yeol’s ‘rising’, Ahn Cheol-soo’s ‘Stupid’


We start with the results of a poll we conducted ahead of the Lunar New Year holiday. Candidate Jae-myung Lee 33.6% and Candidate Seok-yeol Yoon 37.8%. Both candidates are within the margin of error. Looking at the flow, Lee’s approval rating has not changed much, and Candidate Yoon is on an upward trend. Candidate Ahn Cheol-soo lost 10.1%.

First news, this is reporter Yeon Ji-hwan.


Four opposition candidates were asked who they would vote for if they were to win the election.

Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung 33.6%, People’s Power candidate Yoon Seok-yeol 37.8%.

Justice Party candidate Shim Sang-jung received 2.8 percent, and People’s Party candidate Ahn Cheol-su 10.1 percent.

Candidate Lee and Candidate Yoon have a difference of 4.2 percentage points. It is a close match within the margin of error.

Candidate Yoon’s upward trend is notable in this survey.

Comparing it with the previous JTBC survey, Candidate Yoon rose by 4.9 percentage points within the margin of error, and Candidate Lee fell by 1 percentage point.

In particular, candidate Yoon recovered his approval rating, rising by 14.6 percentage points from the conservatives and 9.3 percentage points from those who wanted a regime change compared to the last survey.

There is an analysis that the support base of Candidate Yoon, who moved to Ahn Cheol-soo, is returning.

[김태영/글로벌리서치 본부장 : 윤석열 지지도는 지금 보수층을 중심으로 결집을 해왔고요. 김건희 이슈 등의 네거티브들은 이미 이전에 선반영되어서 지금의 상승세에는 크게 영향을 주지 않은 것 같습니다.]

In fact, Ahn’s approval ratings seem to have stagnated.

It recorded the first double-digit approval rating this month, and it was on the rise until the last survey, but this time it fell within the margin of error.

By generation, in the 2030 generation, Candidate Lee and Candidate Yoon are in a close battle.

Candidate Lee won in their 40s and Yoon in their 60s, respectively.

The opinion that the regime should be replaced was 56.3%, which was 17.1 percentage points higher than the opinion that the regime should be maintained.

This survey was commissioned by Global Research, an opinion polling agency, and was conducted from the 22nd to the 23rd.

A telephone interview survey was conducted on 1,012 adult men and women nationwide, and the sample error was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

(Video design: Oh Eun-sol·Kim Kwan-hoo / Video graphic: Park Kyung-min)


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